The most recent trading in the secondary market valued (unlisted) Facebook at $50 billion - more than venerable sites such as eBay or Yahoo, and within sight of Amazon's c$80 billion. Since this latest valuation is little short of fifty times Facebook's estimated 2010 revenues of $1.1 billion, it raises the question of what has to be believed about Facebook's prospects for that valuation to make sense.
A quick comparison of Facebook with its approximate peers - major consumer technology retailers, websites and especially social networks - shows a chasm between the value placed on the revenues of other companies versus pure social networks. (Revenues rather than profits are used throughout because profits at Facebook are unknown.) But the things we have to believe for a valuation of $50 billion make sense just aren't all that wild.
Continue reading "Life begins at fifty billion" »
Another day, another extraordinary anti-Internet rant by The Australian. Last week the Editor in Chief threatened to sue a journalism commentator for reporting on the proceedings of a public conference (accurately, as it turns out from tapes that have since emerged of the conference). Then the editor of the media section apparently asked the police to investigate an #iamspartacus tweet threatening to blow up the paper, which anyone with even a passing interest in recent media news would have recognised as a parody of the Twitter Joke Trial. Today the paper's war on C21st media takes the form of a blog post complaining that blogging isn't proper journalism, neatly summarised by Jay Rosen as "journalism is ours, you can't have it".
Continue reading "If you're going to criticise bloggers, probably best to check whether you are one" »
An American girl in Massachussets who happens to have the account name @theashes has had a fun few days. About a week ago her account was mistaken by a handful of cricket fans for the official news account for the England / Australia match.
Unimpressed, she wrote "This is not the account of the cricket match. Check profiles before you send mentions, it's incredibly annoying and rude," and then as the problem continued "I AM NOT A FREAKING CRICKET MATCH!!!".
Continue reading "What's in a name? Free holidays, tickets, beer..." »
Just as Facebook and ubiquitous CCTV spell the end of privacy for the individual, the latest Wikileaks revelations look like the end of privacy for governments. Unfortunately, social proof means that enforced openness is unlikely to be any healthier for governments than it has been for individuals.
While some individual privacy has been given up voluntarily (we publish our thoughts, our locations, our moods), some has been given up without much in the way of consent (in the UK we are watched by 4.2 million CCTV cameras, one for every 14 people). And while some government privacy has been given up ostensibly voluntarily, if grudgingly, (freedom of information legislation) some has simply been taken away (Wikileaks keeps publishing the United States' secret documents). Technology makes privacy hard to maintain and if three people can only keep a secret so long as two of them are dead, what chance had three million? One of the strangest aspects of this leak - which governments terrified of embarrassment continue to claim with almost charmingly blatant ulteriority puts lives and national security at risk - is that these "secrets" were already known to three million US government officials, "a diplomatic outreach", says Simon Jenkins, "that makes the British Empire look miniscule".
Continue reading "The trouble with the end of privacy, geopolitics edition" »
Since the Times swept its website behind a paywall, its content is almost unique amongst UK newspapers in being inaccessible to the general public - only a relative handful of print and online subscribers can now read what appears therein. Clay Shirky says it is now a newsletter. Emily Bell says that it "conceivably has outlived its editorial purpose as a lever of influence." And yet we continue to list it as the UK's primary newspaper of record. I do not believe it should be any longer so regarded, and have knocked up a poll to assess the matter - click here if you'd like to vote.
Continue reading "Is the Times still the UK's newspaper of record?" »
Two days after the Whitehall kettle and the police are already sounding the warnings for "a new era of unrest". Quite apart from the obviousness of the police agenda (new unrest, new license to beat up protestors) the surprise for me is the rarity with which people take to the streets.
"Don't vote, the government might get in" goes the old saw. There is, as ever, much truth behind the doggerrel. The thing is, all the parties know that we only vote to get them out. They know that we don't want them governing us. And we can tell this from the simple evidence of what they spend their money at election time convincing us to do.
Continue reading "Ignoring the white bear in the room - they already know we only vote against them" »